The hottest turn in viscose fiber industry in 2009

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2009: the viscose fiber industry turned a corner recently, the "2009 China viscose industry chain forum" hosted by China chemical fiber economic information was held in Hangzhou. More than 100 representatives from China National Chemical Fiber Corporation, Zhejiang Fulida fiber, Yibin seria and other major domestic viscose fiber manufacturers, major pulp suppliers and importers at home and abroad, viscose fiber equipment, oiling agents, auxiliary materials and other enterprises at home and abroad, as well as relevant research and consulting institutions attended the meeting

the meeting had a heated discussion on the trend of the economic environment, the market trend and contingency tactics of viscose fiber, and the supply and demand of pulp. Participants believed that the viscose fiber industry is currently experiencing a turning point. In 2008, due to various factors, the global production of viscose fiber decreased by about 10%, and the production of viscose fiber in China decreased by 18%. Although the downturn of the world economy will lead to the reduction of the production of dissolved pulp, Dr. Wang Biao from tianbai company in Canada believes that in the medium and long term, the increase of population and the process of urbanization will promote the development of viscose fiber and other fibers. Wang Biao introduced the application of special wood pulp in food and medical treatment, such as additives, nitrocellulose, acetate fiber, etc., and predicted that when the global market demand recovers, there will be a shortage of dissolved wood pulp

caoyaqin, manager of China National Chemical Fiber Corporation, pointed out that at present, the production capacity of China's cotton pulp industry has been large, which is not suitable for reinvestment in small cotton pulp plants. On the basis of existing cotton pulp enterprises, appropriate resource and technology integration is a more effective way. Especially in the technology of cotton pulp, it needs to develop towards diversification and special pulp, so as to connect with the international pulp industry. In this process, domestic pulp enterprises must not only do a good job in environmental protection, but also make more efforts to save costs and improve product quality. In the next three years, the pulp consumption of viscose fiber will tend to be stable, while the demand for wood pulp will increase in emerging industries such as acetate fiber and CMC

Li Ren, China cotton information manager, made a detailed analysis of the current situation of foreign cotton: in 2009/2010 cotton year, the global cotton planting area and output will decline. Among them, the cotton industry in Xinjiang, which accounts for 40% of the total cotton output and about 50% of the short staple output, has been greatly adjusted. The cotton planting area in Xinjiang this year has decreased by 12% compared with last year, which will reduce the amount of short staple fiber by about 10%. However, with the increase of the number of pieces of domestic and international gin, the acceleration of rotating speed and the improvement of depilation equipment (automatic), the output of short staple per unit has increased

the substitution relationship between cotton and viscose staple fiber and polyester staple fiber has been well known in the industry. At present, the price comparability between tertiary cotton and viscose staple fiber and polyester staple fiber is weakened, but the substitution relationship is enhanced. According to the prediction of China cotton information, the correlation between cotton linter and viscose staple fiber will continue to rise in the 2009/2010 cotton year. In 2009/2010 cotton year, the price of fertilizer and other means of production fell, and the demand for nearly 4million tons of national reserve cotton and cotton textile fell sharply, so that the purchase price of seed cotton would not be higher than 2.80 yuan/Jin, which would limit the room for the rise of short staple price. According to statistics, in 2008, the proportion of cotton blending in domestic cotton spinning enterprises was about 55%, and the proportion of polyester staple fiber and viscose staple fiber increased. Industry re integration

after 2005, the production capacity of China's viscose fiber industry, especially viscose staple fiber industry, has expanded sharply. According to incomplete statistics, the production capacity of viscose fiber in China will reach 1.8 million tons in 2009. Participants believed that due to the impact of the economic environment, industry supply and demand and other factors, China's viscose fiber industry is facing an important turning point. Specifically, this year, due to the demolition of some enterprises and the contraction of market demand, the production capacity of viscose filament will further maintain a stable growth trend in the overall economic operation of the industry, while the short-term over expansion of production capacity in the staple fiber industry has led to new integration in the distribution of downstream markets

Fang Jun, an analyst at Anxin securities, said that at present, the production capacity of viscose staple fiber industry is large enough, but the core competitiveness is not very strong, because the internal consumption of various enterprises is relatively serious. He believes that some domestic enterprises may try to integrate industry concentration through mergers and acquisitions to improve their control over the market and resources

Wu Huijun, general manager of Shanghai China Textile Industry Development Co., Ltd., pointed out through the development process of China's bamboo fiber industry that the viscose fiber industry should adopt the method of collaborative cooperation between raw material manufacturers and downstream textile mills to jointly solve the problems encountered in the research and development process. He also pointed out that at present, there are problems to be solved in China's bamboo fiber industry, such as disordered competition and imperfect detection methods. Enterprise examination is imminent

recently, many good news have stimulated the nerves of enterprises. In the economic operation data of China in the first quarter of this year released some time ago, GDP increased by 6.1% year-on-year; The prices of some chemical fiber varieties rose, 4 Each length Pneumatic unit The demand for dynamic exchange of display digits has increased, and a similar situation has emerged in the viscose fiber industry. In view of this situation, some industry insiders have come to the conclusion that China's economy and chemical fiber industry are recovering. However, Liu Chao, general manager of Hangzhou Beituo Textile Co., Ltd., believes that the current Chinese economy has not really bottomed out, and enterprises will face a big test, "how many Chinese textile enterprises can survive in nine months?"

Liu Chao believes that at present, many cotton mills and cloth mills have not analyzed the problems rationally, and some enterprises still have heavy speculative psychology. Liu Chao divided the operation of enterprise funds into three stages: in the third case: at this time, the angle of the contact surface between the push plate and the toothed rod head should be changed. In the first stage, many textile enterprises used loans from banks to maintain production; The second stage may appear in the third quarter of this year, and textile enterprises will mainly consume their own profits; The third stage is likely to appear in the fourth quarter of this year, and the factory will mainly use private hot money. However, once the third stage is reached, the enterprise is not far from bankruptcy. Therefore, he called on enterprises to treat the market in 2009 rationally, focusing on short-term operations

Ji Liuyan, a professional analyst of China chemical fiber economic information, made a detailed analysis on the trend of the viscose industry this year. He believed that the price of viscose staple fiber hit the bottom and rebounded before the end of April or early May this year; From mid May to early July, the price of viscose staple fiber will drop appropriately on the basis of the previous period; After the middle and late July, the price of viscose staple fiber will rise, and is expected to reach a relatively high reasonable price in 2010. In terms of viscose filament, he believes that the current problem encountered by the viscose filament industry is not price, but the survival of the industry. In the current situation of serious losses in the viscose filament industry as a whole, enterprises in the industry should take the initiative to unite and actively communicate with downstream enterprises to find a way in the application of viscose filament, so as to maintain the overall profits of the industry

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